Some calculations based on the 2008 polls published thus far (from RCP) are below the fold.
Crossposted at Daily Kos.
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A) Polls that asked both the "with Gore" and "without Gore" questions:1.
FNOD, 5/15-16With Gore:
Clinton: 35%
Obama: 20
Gore: 13
Edwards: 13
Richardson: 4Clinton-Obama Margin: 15
Without Gore (with shifts in parentheses):
Clinton: 39% (+4)
Obama: 23 (+3)
Edwards: 15 (+2)
Richardson: 4 (0)Clinton-Obama Margin: 16
Interesting "without Clinton" results:
Obama: 34 (+14)
Gore: 23 (+10)
Edwards: 16 (+3)
Richardson: 5 (+1)
(which shows that Obama and Gore have the best capacity to pull support from Hillary)2.
Cook/RT, 5/11-13:With Gore:
Clinton: 32%
Obama: 24
Gore: 10
Edwards: 13
Richardson: 3Clinton-Obama Margin: 8
Without Gore (with shifts in parentheses):
Clinton: 40% (+8)
Obama: 25 (+1)
Edwards: 13 (0)
Richardson: 2 (-1)Clinton-Obama Margin: 15
3.
CNN/OR 5/4-6
With Gore:Clinton: 38%
Obama: 24
Gore: 12
Edwards: 12
Richardson: 5Clinton-Obama Margin: 14
Without Gore (with shifts in parentheses):
Clinton: 41% (+3)
Obama: 27 (+3)
Edwards: 14 (+2)
Richardson: 6 (+1)Clinton-Obama Margin: 14
4.
USA TodayWith Gore:
Clinton: 38%
Obama: 23
Gore: 14
Edwards: 12
Richardson: 2Clinton-Obama Margin: 15
Without Gore (with shifts in parentheses):
Clinton: 45% (+7)
Obama: 27 (+4)
Edwards: 14 (+2)
Richardson: 3 (+1)Clinton-Obama Margin: 18
Averages:
With Gore:
Clinton: 35.75%
Obama: 22.75
Gore: 12.25
Edwards: 12.5
Richardson: 3.5Clinton-Obama Margin: 13
Also, Obama+Gore = 35%Without Gore (with shifts in parentheses):
Clinton: 41.25% (+5.5)
Obama: 27 (+2.75)
Edwards: 14 (+1.5)
Richardson: 3 (+0.25)Clinton-Obama Margin: 14.25
B. Polls that asked or reported only the "without Gore" question:1.
ARG, 5/9-12Clinton: 39%
Obama: 22
Edwards: 19
Richardson: 2Clinton-Obama Margin: 17
2.
Rasmussen, 5/07-10Clinton: 35%
Obama: 33
Edwards: 14
Richardson: 3Clinton-Obama Margin: 2
Average:
Clinton: 37%
Obama: 27.5
Edwards: 16.5
Richardson: 2.5Clinton-Obama Margin: 9.5
C. Poll that asked or reported only "with Gore" question:Gallup, 5/10-13With Gore:
Clinton: 35%
Obama: 26
Gore: 16
Edwards: 12
Richardson: 2Clinton-Obama Margin: 9
One notes that Obama's and Gore's number in this last poll add up to 42, 7 points more than Clinton.
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